Archive for the ‘Innovation’ Category

Patent Failure

Monday, November 16th, 2009

patentA great read, this book is a damning indictment of the way patent law has evolved in the USA. The message for innovators is that unless you are in chemicals or pharmaceuticals, the patent system is a net negative, not just for you but for the whole industry. The authors calculate the net contribution patents make to profit, as a fraction of R&D spending, for several industries. The returns are great for chemicals and pharma, close to 60%. But for all others its -7%.

Why? Well the courts seem to have screwed up badly in dealing with situations where notice was poor. In the case of physical property, ownership rights are clear and well signalled: even if we’re neighbours, the chances of me building my shed/house on your property are very low because the boundaries are very clear and/or quite easy/cheap to ascertain. But if you get a patent registered, and its claims are worded vaguely enough, then I might well infringe inadvertently.

It works OK for chem and pharma because there are formulas that limit the scope of the claim. But its a minefield for patents on software and business methods. Which of course encourages some to craft patent applications in ways that allow them to ambush innovators after they become successful. After the book was published, the Rambus case was finally killed off by the US Supreme Court, so the outlook remains bleak.

Organic crossover

Sunday, November 15th, 2009

sircolLynne and I have been in the ‘tron for the weekend at the organics sector conference. The conference theme “Innovate: Go Organic”, aligned well with our motives; we were looking for clues that might help us down on the farm.

There was an impressive line-up of speakers: lots of senior bureaucrats and academics from Europe, and Sir Colin (Pine Tree) Meads (left) as after-dinner speaker. Col said his son had converted to organics a while back and while initially sceptical he’d been very impressed with the results.

Its true that locks are not usually selected for their brains, but neither are NZ sheep farmers noted for their gullibility or willingness to break ranks. So it is surely significant that Colin Meads fronted up to speak at an organic sector conference.

Other bits from the event:

  • The organic market in the USA has been experiencing double digit growth (18% in 2008) but it looks like 2009 will break this trend and come in at around 7 – 9%. Still damn good in a market where “flat is the new growth“.
  • Compared with conventional methods, organic agriculture sequesters much more carbon in the soil, but the science for measuring it is still deficient
  • On average, Swiss farmers get 43,000 Euros/year from the state to provide public goods such as a nice landscape, soil conservation, animal welfare etc
  • NZ’s organics industry organisation OANZ was lucky to score 3 years of government funding, which has now been cut.

Catching Australia

Monday, November 9th, 2009

Like it or not, labour mobility means that we do compete directly against the Aussies in the markets for skilled people, where we obviously need to do better. But how? I got a couple of clues while across the ditch last week.

I was intrigued to read the Aussies complaining about lack of policy attention on innovation. Most of it was printed or is gated, but basically, they’re saying that the Rudd government seems to not really care. There was a major review of the innovation system last year but it seems to have dropped off the agenda for this government.  This should be good for us.

I also read commentary trying to debunk the view that Australia has done well simply by having the dumb luck to have a mineral-rich and incredibly large and empty country. The argument was that there was heaps of innovation in the minerals sector, so it wasn’t all dumb luck.  True enough, but neither is it rocket science. They are optimising the production, management, distribution, marketing etc of the stuff in which they already have an enormous comparative advantage.

Like the criminals, we also have a land-based comparative advantage: agriculture. We’re doing OK with ours I suppose. Certainly dairy is being well supported by governments: the latest rush of free-trade agreements has been very good for Fonterra. But we probably need to think more creatively about innovation more in this sector. An obvious boost would be to allow farming of native species like Weka and Kereru. But the big problems are surely in meat & wool and at this point I am bereft of ideas for those guys, except that I think they should consider the merits of switching to vegetarians as customers (ie fewer animals, more plants).

More generally, I liked Rick Boven’s recent thoughts. I also agree with Doug that the CRIs need to be reformed dramatically. And with WH that we could do more with competitions, though the recent Queens Wharf debacle shows that such things need to be well conceived from the outset.

What a blast!

Saturday, October 24th, 2009

Being a scientific moron, it was no surprise that much of last weeks NZ Rocketry Association workshop went over my head, so to speak. But it was still great to hear Peter Beck, the intellectual force behind Rocket Labs, talking about the first NZ space launch scheduled for next month.

In between having my brain warped by numbers large (900degrees: how hot the nose-cone gets) and small (30 microseconds: the time your rocket is exposed to the risk of shaking itself to pieces, if you do it right), there were a few things I grasped.

1. Forget about buying aerospace stuff from the USA. They are so paranoid about security that they have laws that make it extremely difficult for foreigners to buy their stuff.

2. Light is right. This old tramping club maxim also rules in space, but again the Americans don’t get it. Rocket Labs, following the intellectual footsteps of the late great John Britten, are using carbon fibre for everything while NASA sticks with aluminium & steel even for small rockets.

3. Flight is risky. Pretty obvious really, but from a strategic angle it is better to be designing, building and selling rockets than launching them.

Peter Beck is a seriously impressive guy. He looked as if he’d been working day & night for a while, which would be understandable given the size of the stakes in the upcoming launch. But he was fizzing with energy & enthusiasm and appeared (to this moron’s eye) to be completely conversant with the arcane details of every single aspect of rocket design & flight control, and expert in many of them. Peter’s aim is to establish an aerospace industry in NZ, a lofty goal that will be much closer if next month’s launch vehicle does safely fly 100kms up as intended. Fingers crossed.

By the way, the local rocket folks seemed well into it. At question time, one of them asked about the avionics kit and whether it could be bought. Peter affirmed, and then turned it around, asking if anyone had a “reliable rocket” that was ready to fly and could be used to test the avionics module. One of the locals must have been up for that, because Peter’s avionics module will be flight-tested tomorrow at Taupiri.

Good luck to all of you, and thanks to Joel Schiff.

Would you like a bed with that?

Friday, October 23rd, 2009

Kiwis are well used to the dread of checking in for a long haul flight, economy class, and hoping the plane will be undersold so there is a prospect that extra space can be scored. Now the clever clogs at Air NZ have found a way to turn any spare space into revenue. Like many good ideas, its obvious once you hear it: offer a guaranteed extra adjacent seat for a heavily discounted price. This is a perfect way to get cash for highly perishable inventory (unsold seats) just before it expires (at takeoff).

But there may be more to it. The SMH is reporting speculation that Air NZ has devised a cabin fitout that would allow two economy class seats to convert into something resembling a those wonderful lie-flat beds they have in business class.

Because this is a world first, the idea also has the potential to earn millions of dollars for Air New Zealand in export revenue. Its aircraft interior design subsidiary Altitude Aerospace Interiors, set up last year, plans to sell its economy seat-bed design to other airlines.

Reasons to be cheerful

Thursday, October 1st, 2009

The NZ Institute says we (NZ) are hopeless at converting science into business. Referring to “innovation factors” in the World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness Report, Director Rick Boven says

New Zealand performs poorly relative to advanced economies on several of these innovation measures. Our relative performance indicates that we do not yet have the conditions in place to compete successfully.

I’m sure there is scope for improvement, but here are a few reasons to be a bit more cheerful…

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